Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 16.659785 19.405803 22.391922 25.871205 29.804168 34.102422 39.145330
2025-02-16 11.660363 15.335457 19.746620 25.385879 32.353470 40.626954 51.135754
2025-02-23 8.777827 12.749783 17.911296 25.006517 34.387424 46.234401 62.174793
2025-03-02 6.943386 10.989368 16.615086 24.830413 36.309060 51.537246 72.976547
2025-03-09 5.628655 9.630132 15.541410 24.644523 37.984193 56.436897 83.419608
2025-03-16 4.313088 7.984194 13.745621 23.092335 37.433146 58.075185 89.353125
2025-03-23 3.789046 7.484748 13.577742 23.883773 40.281076 64.626428 102.543198
2025-03-30 3.425095 7.180637 13.655232 25.023442 43.700314 72.192215 117.636326
2025-04-06 2.846319 6.376407 12.769700 24.460615 44.341508 75.557842 126.614302
2025-04-13 2.283253 5.485947 11.592323 23.235095 43.739872 76.883069 132.465606
2025-04-20 2.124217 5.376109 11.814938 24.469443 47.323251 85.032943 149.401506
2025-04-27 2.043323 5.415714 12.318984 26.249707 51.961015 95.143473 169.974643
2025-05-04 1.781447 5.025961 11.970248 26.483604 54.045955 101.418361 185.132050
2025-05-11 1.521060 4.588028 11.469381 26.387647 55.567569 106.921076 199.495385
2025-05-18 1.284768 4.151062 10.897873 26.071650 56.633252 111.684946 212.875758
2025-05-25 1.096632 3.790293 10.432054 25.903674 57.940919 116.925554 227.330890
2025-06-01 0.936448 3.463098 9.986387 25.713684 59.166917 122.066103 241.857757
2025-06-08 0.728960 2.933720 8.958344 24.104161 57.379119 121.531525 246.247751
2025-06-15 0.667093 2.840162 9.003705 24.925272 60.638683 130.601827 268.398578
2025-06-22 0.626160 2.805256 9.195933 26.107302 64.742248 141.497386 294.401792
2025-06-29 0.523604 2.524327 8.677648 25.523604 65.006641 144.988325 306.845646
2025-07-06 0.415896 2.183364 7.923305 24.252386 63.635075 145.155564 313.014464
2025-07-13 0.396805 2.183999 8.163721 25.532761 68.073518 157.153917 342.280963